Search results for weighted averages

Frontloading HQ: Did Obama or McCain Win July?

By jtputnam 119 days ago from http://frontloading.blogspot.com

So who won July? Well, the map looks awfully yellow (pro-McCain), but the Arizona senators gains are in states where he is already way out in front or too far behind to make much of a difference. The swing states are even allocated in terms of how many are trending toward each of the candidates. And when that sort of analysis i

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Frontloading HQ: The Pre-Convention Swoon Revisited

By jtputnam 99 days ago from http://frontloading.blogspot.com

I don't necessarily want to reprise the post and the resulting discussion here, but I thought it was important to update Saturday's examination of the August poll movement to reflect all the data we have through August. I'm treating the Biden announcement as part of the convention. Therefore, any polls conducted prior to Aug

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Tags: 2008 presidential election monthly change state polls weighted averages

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Frontloading HQ: Swoon? What Swoon? A Look at the Changes During Pre-Convention August

By jtputnam 100 days ago from http://frontloading.blogspot.com

Thus far there has been polling conducted in 34 states during August, including 12 of FHQ's 14 toss up states. And that is where we'll keep the focus for this examination, on those toss up states. Coming into the month, McCain held advantages in 8 toss up states totaling 86 electoral votes and Obama was ahead in 6 states with

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Tags: 2008 presidential election monthly change state polls weighted averages

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Frontloading HQ: How Big Was McCain's Bounce?

By jtputnam 75 days ago from http://frontloading.blogspot.com

A consensus seems to have emerged that McCain peaked -- at least in the context of the convention bounce -- some time last week. First the national polls began drifting back toward Obama and now we have begun to see hints of a similar pattern on the state level. But how and where did McCain bounce following the GOP convention i

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Tags: 2008 presidential election post-convention changes state polls weighted averages